Makro-Pic Seminar: Recent Topics in Macroeconomics: Unified Growth Theory

Block Seminar: Friday and Saturday, June, 17th and 18th, 2022
Kickoff Meeting: April, 20th, 2022, 9-10am (in BBB via studip)
Application: before April, 27, 2022, 3pm
Registration (FlexNow): February, 28th -- May 15th, 2022.
Seminar Info: info
Application Form: application

Supervision: Dr. Katharina Werner: email   Matthias Beulmann: email
Course material for participants is available at the course material webpage

Introduction

In this seminar we discuss seminal and recent contributions to unified growth theory. Unified growth theory studies the development process in the very long-run, from the first humans to today and beyond. Introductory articles for all participants: Galor, O. (2012). The demographic transition: causes and consequences. Cliometrica, 6(1), 1-28. article

Themes

1. From Malthusian stagnation to the demographic transition and beyond

Reference: Galor, O., & Weil, D. N. (2000). Population, technology, and growth: From Malthusian stagnation to the demographic transition and beyond. American Economic Review, 90(4), 806-828.

2. Natural selection and the origin of economic growth

Reference: Galor, O., & Moav, O. (2002). Natural selection and the origin of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(4), 1133-1191.

3. Inequality and growth: why differential fertility matters

Reference: De La Croix, D., & Doepke, M. (2003). Inequality and growth: why differential fertility matters. American Economic Review, 93(4), 1091-1113.

4. Gender equality and long-run growth

Reference: Lagerlöf, N. P. (2003). Gender equality and long-run growth. Journal of Economic Growth, 8(4), 403-426.

5. From Malthus to modern growth: can epidemics explain the three regimes?

Reference: Lagerlöf, N. P. (2003). From Malthus to modern growth: can epidemics explain the three regimes?. International Economic Review, 44(2), 755-777.

6. Escaping Malthus: Economic growth and fertility change in the developing world

Reference: Chatterjee, S., and Vogl, T. (2018). Escaping Malthus: Economic growth and fertility change in the developing world. American Economic Review, 108(6), 1440-67.

7. Climate and the emergence of global income differences

Reference: Andersen, T. B., Dalgaard, C. J., and Selaya, P. (2016). Climate and the emergence of global income differences. Review of Economic Studies, 83(4), 1334-1363.

8. The trade-off between fertility and education: evidence from before the demographic transition

Reference: Becker, S. O., Cinnirella, F., & Woessmann, L. (2010). The trade-off between fertility and education: evidence from before the demographic transition. Journal of Economic Growth, 15(3), 177-204.

9. Chronic disease burden and the interaction of education, fertility, and growth

Reference: Bleakley, H., & Lange, F. (2009). Chronic disease burden and the interaction of education, fertility, and growth. The review of economics and statistics, 91(1), 52-65.

10. How the West" Invented" fertility restriction

Reference: Voigtländer, N., & Voth, H. J. (2013). How the West" Invented" fertility restriction. American Economic Review, 103(6), 2227-64.

11. Unified growth theory and the French fertility transition

Reference: Murphy, T. E. (2015). Old habits die hard (sometimes). Journal of Economic Growth, 20(2), 177-222.

12. Fertility and modernity

Reference: Spolaore, E., & Wacziarg, R. (2019). Fertility and modernity. NBER Working Paper No. w25957. National Bureau of Economic Research.

13. The fall in global fertility: a quantitative model

Reference: De Silva, T., & Tenreyro, S. (2020). The fall in global fertility: a quantitative model. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 12(3), 77-109.

14. Disease and demographic development: the legacy of the plague

Reference: Siuda, F., & Sunde, U. (2021). Disease and demographic development: the legacy of the plague. Journal of Economic Growth, 26(1), 1-30.

15. Fertility, human capital, and income: the effects of China’s one-child policy

Reference: Gu, J. (2021). Fertility, human capital, and income: the effects of China’s one-child policy. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 1-42.

16. Fecundity, fertility and the formation of human capital

Reference: Klemp, M., & Weisdorf, J. (2019). Fecundity, fertility and the formation of human capital. The Economic Journal, 129(618), 925-960.

ggf: The Wind of Change: Maritime Technology, Trade, and Economic Development (#11) Luigi Pascali, AER 2017 Severgnini, B., & Boerner, L. (2019). Time for Growth (No. 4-2019). Working paper.